Analysis

Forward Deployed Engineers and the Businesses That Cannot Hire Them

Answer capsule

AI stalls inside companies for two human reasons: people cannot reimagine their workflows, and leaders will not manage the change. The evidence supports Claire Vo's diagnosis, published 12 August 2026, and the industry's chosen fix - sending engineers to work inside the customer's business - only reaches firms that can pay for a pod of them. Below that line the same two problems remain, and the answer has to arrive already built, with a person whose job is the change.

A few hundred words on why AI stalls

Claire Vo is chief product and technology officer at LaunchDarkly, and the founder of ChatPRD. On 12 August 2026 she posted on X an answer to a question she says she is asked often: why AI stalls inside companies S1.

The post is a few hundred words. It makes one claim with two parts, and it names the stall as a human problem rather than a model problem. We will notify Vo on publication.

Two reasons, and neither is the model

Vo gives two reasons AI stalls inside companies, and neither is a shortage of models. The first is capability. Adopting AI asks someone to reimagine the workflows of their job, their team and their company, then to swap in technology they barely understand or trust S1.

Asking whether AI can do a task is not enough. You have to rebuild the work from first principles, break your own habits, and persuade others to do the same. Most people, she argues, lack either the imagination or the hard skills, so they stall at writing documents, generating code and producing daily briefings S1. That stall is rational. Those are the jobs a person can finish tomorrow without blowing up the role they already have.

The second is will. Most leaders are not motivated to force change, and even those who know it is needed avoid the hard parts. She reports hearing "yes, I know we need to change, but..." followed by a list of fears: staff will quit, data will leak, costs will run away, quality will drop. Underneath, she suggests, sits a simpler sentence: they will have to tell the team that things are different now, and the team might not like it S1.

Her conclusion separates the two. The first problem yields to staffing and tools: internal forward deployed engineers, hack weeks, investment in internal tooling. The second sits with roughly five people at the top of a company, and no hire fixes it for them. "The blocker is never tools or intelligence," she writes. "Human systems, human problems" S1.

The diagnosis holds. The pod does not reach you

The diagnosis holds, and it is not a finding about the models. PwC's 29th Global CEO Survey of 4,454 chief executives across 95 countries found 56% had seen no significant financial benefit from AI to date. Only 12% reported both higher revenue and lower costs. CEOs whose organisations had built strong AI foundations first were three times more likely to report meaningful financial returns S2.

MIT's Project NANDA, in a July 2025 working paper analysing 300 public AI deployments, found 95% of organisations saw little or no measurable profit-and-loss impact S3. In the UK, government research across 3,500 businesses found 16% were using at least one AI technology, agentic AI sat at 7% of adopters, and limited skills were among the most cited barriers S4. All three findings describe the problems Vo names. None of them describes a failure of the models.

The stall also has the same shape as the one we described in Single-player AI and the multiplayer business: people doing the job in front of them, not looking to a future problem. The tools get used. The business does not change.

The market agrees with her first diagnosis, and has priced it. Executive search firm Christian & Timbers found the share of companies planning to hire forward deployed engineers rose from 5–10% in January 2026 to 70% by the end of the second quarter, against roughly 17,000 FDEs in the US market, of whom it judges only about 2,000 capable of delivering returns at enterprise scale S5. On 30 June 2026 AWS committed $1 billion to a new Forward Deployed Engineering organisation that will embed thousands of engineers with customers, designed so customers are self-sufficient when a deployment ends S14. OpenAI and Anthropic launched their own deployment ventures earlier in the year S15 S16.

That arithmetic is where her fix list strains. A pod of engineers per customer is an enterprise price. Christian & Timbers measures an elite FDE's worth in tens of millions of dollars of impact S5. A 40-person firm has no such sum to give back, so no vendor will send the pod. Vo's remedies for the first problem - internal FDEs, hack weeks, internal tools budgets - assume spare engineering headcount, which is what a 10-to-250-person business lacks. Her observation about the roughly five people at the top lands differently there too. In a small business those five people are the whole management layer. No one sits below them to carry the change, and no one sits above them to force it.

The FDE model also strains on its own advocates' terms. Andreessen Horowitz, defending the model, names the critics' case that a services motion limits scale, and prescribes automating as much of delivery as possible S8. VC Cafe states the condition for scale plainly. The model scales only when fieldwork becomes product, and an engagement that starts from zero is consulting, whatever the job title says S9. Legion Intelligence, writing from inside the defence software market, argues the model grows by adding people and leaves customers dependent on the engineers who understand the system S10. Palantir reached the same conclusion in practice. Its AIP Bootcamps take a customer from zero to a working use case in one to five days, because the engineering that once happened on a blank canvas now ships inside the product S11.

A platform does not solve Vo's second problem either. Pre-built workflows do not make an owner willing to tell their team that things are different now. That work still belongs to a person the owner trusts, in the room, whose job is the change rather than the code. Rick Manelius makes a version of this point in arguing the gap needs executives as well as engineers S12. Moving engineering into a product also trades range for repeatability. An FDE with a blank canvas can invent something no product contains, and for a business with a rare, high-stakes problem, the blank canvas wins. Our position is that the problems of most 10-to-250-person businesses are common rather than rare, and that a platform which has already solved them beats an engineer solving them again for the first time. That is a judgement, not a finding.

Already built, with a person on the change

Three implications follow for how we build and advise. They split Vo's two problems: the product carries capability, and a person in the room carries will.

The engineering belongs in the product. A business of 10 to 250 people cannot fund a blank canvas and does not need one, because its workflows - quoting, scheduling, chasing invoices, onboarding staff - repeat across thousands of firms like it. Building the connectors, agents and governance once, then installing them many times, removes the two costs the blank canvas carries into every engagement: the risk of building something for the first time, and the months it takes. Palantir's move to five-day deployments shows the direction S11. The difference is which market the product is built for.

The person in the room is a business role. Alexander Group, advising technology vendors on go-to-market strategy, concludes that direct FDE coverage below the enterprise is not economic, and that certified partners must fill the gap, with certification signalling the partner can deliver outcomes S13. That matches how we deliver. A certified consultant carries Vo's second problem, the human one, working directly with the handful of people who decide whether change happens. The platform carries the first. Where an edge case needs new engineering, it routes to the core product team, and once built, every client receives it. RedOS is built on that division of labour.

Vo's closing line is the standard the whole category should be measured against. If the blocker is never tools or intelligence, a delivery model should be judged by where it spends on the human work. The capital now going into forward deployed engineering spends it where a business can pay for a pod of engineers. The two problems Vo names do not stop at the enterprise boundary, and below it the answer has to arrive already built, with a person whose job is the change.

Sources

  1. S1 Tier 3 · commentary x-post
    I was asked recently what are the top reasons AI stalls inside companies
    X · Claire Vo · 12 August 2026
    The blocker is never tools or intelligence. Human systems, human problems!
    Supports AI adoption stalls on human and organisational factors, not model capability
  2. S2 Tier 1 · primary press-release
    PwC 29th Global CEO Survey: Leading through uncertainty in the age of AI
    PwC · 19 January 2026
    Overall, 33% report gains in either cost or revenue, while 56% say they have seen no significant financial benefit to date.
    Supports 4,454 CEOs / 95 countries; 56% no significant financial benefit to date; 12% both cost and revenue; foundations 3×.
  3. S3 Tier 1 · primary research-paper
    The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business 2025
    MIT Project NANDA · Aditya Challapally, Chris Pease, Ramesh Raskar and colleagues · 2025-07
    95% of organizations are getting zero return. … Just 5% of integrated AI pilots are extracting millions in value, while the vast majority remain stuck with no measurable P&L impact.
    Supports 95% of organisations saw little or no measurable P&L impact; analysis of 300 public AI deployments.
  4. S4 Tier 1 · primary government-research
    AI Adoption Research
    Department for Science, Innovation and Technology (IFF Research and Technopolis Group) · 13 February 2026
    Around 1 in 6 businesses (16%) are currently using at least one AI technology.
    Supports UK: 16% using at least one AI technology; agentic AI at 7% of adopters; limited skills among the most cited barriers (n=3,500).
  5. S5 Tier 2 · secondary news-article
    Forward-deployed engineers are the AI industry's latest talent obsession
    TechCrunch · Rebecca Bellan · 30 July 2026
    Not 2,000 available. 2,000 total.
    Supports FDE demand 5–10% → 70%; ~17,000 US FDEs; ~2,000 elite. C&T exclusive to TechCrunch.
  6. S8 Tier 3 · commentary vc-blog
    Trading Margin for Moat: Why the Forward Deployed Engineer Is the Hottest Job in Startups
    Andreessen Horowitz · Joe Schmidt · 4 June 2025
    Critics of this approach might argue that relying on a professional services motion limits scalability
    Supports the services-led FDE model scales only by moving delivery into the product
  7. S9 Tier 3 · commentary newsletter
    The $9 Billion Bet on Forward Deployed Engineers
    VC Cafe · Eze Vidra · 12 August 2026
    If every engagement starts from zero, the startup is building a consultancy.
    Supports the services-led FDE model scales only by moving delivery into the product
  8. S10 Tier 3 · commentary company-paper
    The Forward Deployed Engineering Model Is Backward
    Legion Intelligence · 3 July 2026
    The result is a delivery model that scales primarily by adding people.
    Supports the services-led FDE model scales only by moving delivery into the product
  9. S11 Tier 1 · primary company-blog
    Deploying Full Spectrum AI in Days: How AIP Bootcamps Work
    Palantir Technologies · Ted Mabrey · 22 February 2024
    go from zero to use case in just one to five days
    Supports the services-led FDE model scales only by moving delivery into the product
  10. S12 Tier 3 · commentary newsletter
    Forward Deployed Executives: The Next Billion-Dollar AI Unblock
    Rick Manelius's Newsletter (Substack) · Rick Manelius · 2 August 2026
    Supports AI adoption stalls on human and organisational factors, not model capability
  11. S13 Tier 3 · commentary consultancy-insight
    Strategic Rise of the Forward Deployed Engineer
    Alexander Group · 12 June 2026
    For the mid-market and lower-enterprise tiers, direct vendor FDE coverage is often economically unfeasible.
    Supports FDE demand, supply and economics concentrate the model in enterprise accounts
  12. S14 Tier 1 · primary company-blog
    AWS invests $1 billion to embed AI forward deployed engineers with customers
    Amazon / AWS · Francessca Vasquez · 30 June 2026
    Backed by a $1 billion investment, the AWS FDE model is different in three key ways: it is agentic-first, it compresses timelines from months to days, and it is designed so customers are self-sufficient when a deployment ends.
    Supports AWS committed $1 billion to a Forward Deployed Engineering organisation; thousands of experts; customer self-sufficiency designed in.
  13. S15 Tier 1 · primary company-blog
    OpenAI launches the OpenAI Deployment Company to help businesses build around intelligence
    OpenAI · 11 May 2026
    The OpenAI Deployment Company will extend OpenAI’s ability to embed engineers specialized in frontier AI deployment, known as Forward Deployed Engineers, or FDEs, into organizations working on complex problems in demanding environments.
    Supports OpenAI launched a deployment company that embeds FDEs with customers.
  14. S16 Tier 1 · primary company-blog
    Building a new enterprise AI services company with Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman, and Goldman Sachs
    Anthropic · 4 May 2026
    Putting Claude to work in an organization’s core operations takes hands-on engineering and deep familiarity with how each business runs.
    Supports Anthropic launched an enterprise AI services company on 4 May 2026.

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